The University of Strathclyde
Grant Allan, Stuart McIntyre, Graeme Roy, Fraser of Allander Institute, Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde Yesterday’s economic figures for Scotland give us a better picture of the health of the Scottish economy and its likely resilience to coping with the heightened uncertainty post-EU referendum. The focus of comment thus …
Yesterday’s Economic Statistics…..Revisions, Revisions, Revisions Read More »
Julia Darby, Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde Tomorrow we will obtain an indication of the strength of the Scottish economy with GDP data for Q1 2016 published alongside jobs data for the period up to May. They are likely to show that the Scottish economy remains fragile, driven largely …
Uncertainty, volatility and structural challenges – welcome to a post-Brexit World! Read More »
Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde To help obtain a picture of how businesses are reacting to the decision to leave the EU, we undertook a survey of Scottish companies to gauge their initial assessment of what the outcome means for them and their future plans. The survey was …
Fraser of Allander Business Survey: First Reactions to EU Referendum Outcome Read More »
Grant Allan, Stuart McIntyre, Graeme Roy, Fraser of Allander This week, statisticians in St Andrew’s House will be busy finalising their best estimate of Q1 2016 Scottish GDP. In advance of its publication, we offer our prediction of what that estimate might be, and crucially what it will tell us …
Next week’s Scottish GDP – Above the Line??? Just!! Read More »
Andrew Goudie, Graeme Roy, Fraser of Allander Alongside individual blog posts, every so often we will set out in a little more detail an issue that will shape the work of the Fraser in the months to come. This is the first in a series of such longer policy notes. …
Brexit: What next for Scotland’s Economic Strategy? Read More »
Jeremy Peat, Visiting Professor, IPPI, University of Strathclyde. First appeared on IPPI Blog. In my column for this week’s Herald (published on Monday 4th July) I focused on the post Brexit referendum risks and uncertainties now prevailing across our economy and the relatively short-term impact that this is likely to have …
Three economic scenarios for Scotland post-Brexit Read More »
Grant Allan, Department of Economics and Fraser of Allander Institute The Scotland energy system is currently in the process of an unprecedented restructuring. The implications of the UK’s Brexit vote for these changes over both the short and long term are critical to the future shape of Scotland’s energy mix. …
How might Brexit affect the supply of energy in Scotland? Read More »
David Eiser, Fraser of Allander Institute What does the Brexit vote mean for the Scottish Government’s budget? In the short-term, (i.e. until the UK formally leaves the EU), the answer essentially depends on two things. First, how much the UK fiscal outlook worsens as a result of the subsequent economic …
Brexit: fiscal implications for the Scottish Government Read More »
David Eiser, Fraser of Allander Institute Forecasting future change in demographics and the labour market is almost certainly a mugs game. The ONS’ 1996-based population projections for Scotland forecast the Scottish population would decline from 5.1 million to 5 million by 2016. What actually happened is that population decline went …
Brexit: implications for the Scottish labour market Read More »
Jeremy Peat, Visiting Professor, IPPI, University of Strathclyde. First appeared on IPPI Blog. Despite the Brexit vote economic life goes on, and more than ever we need to work through how Scotland’s economic performance can be enhanced. Nobody knows precisely what life beyond the referendum vote will actually mean for the …