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Q3 Quarterly Economic Indicator published today…

The latest Scottish Chambers of Commerce (SCC) Quarterly Economic Indicator survey, in partnership with the Fraser of Allander Institute, for Q3 of 2019 was published today.

Summary

The Survey shows that businesses continue to struggle due to factors caused by Brexit uncertainty in the most recent quarter. Confidence remains on a downward trend in most sectors compared to the same period last year. Yet businesses, particularly in the financial and business services sector, are cautiously optimistic that a positive outcome to Brexit on 31 October could start restoring confidence in the Scottish economy.

You can read the full report here: https://www.scottishchambers.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/SCC-Quarterly-Economic-Indicator-Q3-2019-Report.pdf

The latest Addleshaw Goddard Scottish Business Monitor Q3 2019

The latest Addleshaw Goddard Scottish Business Monitor was published today.

The survey provides a snapshot of activity in the Scottish economy in advance of national statistics. The survey also monitors optimism in the economy and therefore acts as a gauge of future activity levels.

The latest results

The latest Scottish Business Monitor covers activity up to the end of Q3 2019.

The Addleshaw Goddard Scottish Business Monitor, the first to be produced in a partnership between the Fraser of Allander Institute and the international law firm, revealed –

UK regional growth in a time of economic uncertainty – estimates to 2019 Q2

This blog presents research outputs from an Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence project.

ESCoE provides the Office for National Statistics with research that addresses the challenges of measuring the modern economy, as recommended by Professor Sir Charles Bean in his Independent Review of UK Economics Statistics.

This research was undertaken by Strathclyde researchers Gary Koop @gary_koop, Stuart McIntyre @stuartgmcintyre and Aubrey Poon, and Warwick Business School’s James Mitchell

The blog below was first posted here: https://www.escoe.ac.uk/uk-regional-growth-in-a-time-of-economic-uncertainty-estimates-to-2019-q2/

From the Fraser commentary – 20 years of Devolution

It is 20 years since the devolved Scottish Parliament was established.

In many ways, the Scottish economy has been greatly transformed over that period.

What the next 20 years will hold is obviously uncertain. But with Brexit, the possibility of IndyRef2 and major structural shifts in our economy guaranteed, it is clearly going to be a period of further upheaval.Continue reading

Scottish economy remains resilient, but Brexit uncertainty continues to erode long-term growth prospects

Risks from new Fiscal Framework likely to hit Scottish Budget in years ahead

The Scottish economy may have grown by its fastest rate in two years in the first quarter of 2019, but the risks to Scotland’s growth prospects have not gone away, says the University of Strathclyde-based Fraser of Allander Institute.

In its latest Economic Commentary, supported by Deloitte, the research institute highlights how much of the recent up-pick in growth is likely to have stemmed from firms implementing ‘no deal’ contingency plans. Underlying growth – particularly in key sectors of the economy – remains fragile.Continue reading