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2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 15: The Welsh manifestos

FAI Deputy Director João Sousa is joined by Ed Poole and Guto Ifan of the Wales Governance Centre to discuss the main talking points on tax and spending in the manifestos for the Senedd election.

This work is supported by the Nuffield Foundation. The Nuffield Foundation is an independent charitable trust with a mission to advance social well-being. It funds and undertakes rigorous research, encourages innovation and supports the use of sound evidence to inform social and economic policy, and improve people’s lives. The Nuffield Foundation is the founder and co-funder of the Nuffield Council on Bioethics, the Ada Lovelace Institute and the Nuffield Family Justice Observatory. Find out more at: nuffieldfoundation.org.

The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Foundation.

Timestamps

(0:05) Introductions

(1:14) Income tax proposals

(6:21) Land transaction tax

(9:12) Spending proposals on childcare

(12:36) Costings of proposals

(18:00) Crown Estate devolution

(21:43) Social security devolution

Click here to access the full transcript.

Authors

João is Deputy Director and Senior Knowledge Exchange Fellow at the Fraser of Allander Institute. Previously, he was a Senior Fiscal Analyst at the Office for Budget Responsibility, where he led on analysis of long-term sustainability of the UK's public finances and on the effect of economic developments and fiscal policy on the UK's medium-term outlook.

Ed Gareth Poole

Ed is Reader in Reader in Politics at Cardiff University and part of the Wales Governance Centre

Guto Ifan

Guto is Lecturer in Politics and International Relations at Cardiff University and part of the Wales Governance Centre